The Bank of Canada is keeping its key interest rate target on hold. The central bank announced early on Wednesday morning that its target for the overnight rate will remain at 0.25 per cent.
It says the impact of the pandemic on the global economy appears to have peaked, although uncertainty about how the recovery will unfold remains high.
The Bank of Canada believes the country has avoided the worst-case economic scenario that was painted in April, updating its GDP figures for the second quarter of the year.
The central bank now expects GDP to decline between 10 and 20 per cent compared with the fourth quarter of 2019, down from the 15 to 30 per cent decline forecasted in April.
In a statement announcing the rate decision, the central bank says it is still anticipating the economy to resume growing in the third quarter.
“Decisive and targeted fiscal actions, combined with lower interest rates, are buffering the impact of the shutdown on disposable income and helping to lay the foundation for economic recovery,” the statement said.
The announcement comes on the first day of Tiff Macklem’s tenure as governor, who took over from Stephen Poloz after seven years.
Macklem observed deliberations by the bank’s governing council over the past few days, the statement says, adding that the new governor “endorses the rate decision and measures announced.”
The bank also announced it was reducing the frequency of its term repo operations and purchases of bankers’ acceptances citing improvements in short-term funding conditions.
Other programs to purchase federal, provincial, and corporate debt will continue unchanged, the bank says, but adds it could change tactics in response to economic conditions.
“As market function improves and containment restrictions ease, the Bank’s focus will shift to supporting the resumption of growth in output and employment,” the statement says. “The Bank maintains its commitment to continue large-scale asset purchases until the economic recovery is well underway.”
Economic reports continue this week with Statistics Canada’s look at the May jobs market scheduled for release Friday.
More to come.
Graham Cox
