If a provincial election was held today, a new poll released Monday says it would be a very tight race between the B.C. NDP and Liberals.
Mainstreet Research says Andrew Wilkinson’s Liberals have a 0.7 per cent edge of support over John Horgan’s governing NDP party among decided and leaning voters.
The Liberals have 33.9 per cent support to the NDP’s 33.2 per cent, with 16 per cent leaning towards the Green Party and 14.6 per cent more likely to vote Conservative.
Decided voters, however, are in favour of the NDP by 0.8 per cent over the Liberals at 30.7 per cent to 29.9 per cent.
For Vancouver Islanders who responded to the poll, the NDP has a big margin of combined support with 37.3 per cent compared to 24.3 per cent favouring the Liberal party.
Although support is nearly even for the two parties around Greater Vancouver, the Liberals have more support from decided or leaning voters over the rest of the province at 37.1 per cent, an 8.6 per cent lead over the NDP.
“Besides how close the two parties are, what is interesting about these numbers is that the B.C. Liberals take the lead over the NDP thanks to those who are currently undecided but are leaning towards voting Liberal if an election were held today,” Mainstreet President and CEO Quito Maggi said.
“This means that NDP vote is firmer than the Liberals, but the Liberals have a wider base to build from.”
Meanwhile, British Columbians said they have a more negative view of all four party leaders.
Although Wilkinson has the best overall net rating, 22.7 per cent of respondents say they have a negative view of the Liberal leader, compared to 18.5 per cent who have a favourable opinion.
Negative opinion is shared by 38.6 per cent of respondents of the B.C. premier, with a favourable view from 24 per cent for Horgan.
But Mainstreet says it is unusual to see more than 30 per cent of provincial residents either not sure or not familiar with all leaders, including 80.5 per cent giving one of those two answers when asked for their opinion of conservative leader Scott Anderson.
“British Columbians are either not paying attention to provincial politics these days or they are not being inspired to support any of these parties at this stage.”